Predictions 2018 - 18

The latest set of predictions is from tech provider Rev Adrian Kennard (@TheRealRevK)

What is coming?

Well, drones for one, they are being sold in all sizes to the public with no warnings about legal usage, and so the possibility of actually enforcing the existing laws is going to be increasingly slim. I wonder if laws will have to change, if only for really small ones that are not such a safety risk. I think that in the long term the solution is technical, ie drones with such good defensive systems and sensors, and built in no fly zones, and so on, that even an idiot or malicious user would have a hard time doing anything harmful - and then laws allowing those types of drones. I bet we see some sort of issue in 2018 especially with so many sold over this Christmas.

The crypto wars continue - battles with Apple and WhatsApp, etc. Usually tech wins such battles for lots of good reasons, but who knows? Maybe we'll see attempts to use the Investigatory Powers Act 2016 on someone in 2018.

Surveillance vs privacy is the other closely related war, and again, these different legal fronts are clashing - where will the balance come? Will we see some of the IPA surveillance stuff in 2018? Of course we probably won't know about it even if it happens.

A similar battle exists for commerce vs privacy, and we have GDPR coming in there. Will the provisions work as expected, protecting privacy, or will some be unworkable in practice? We'll definitely see some issues in 2018, I am sure.

Self-driving cars are always a fun topic. My prediction there is simple - the issues will not be decided by tech or law, but by insurance companies using cold statistics. Tech will improve and usage will be legal, and insurance premiums will ‘drive’ people to go for self-driving and assisted-driving cars. The question is, perhaps, which of these milestones will we see in 2018 https://xkcd.com/1925/

Will we see the first enforcement of EU Net Neutrality laws in 2018? I wonder.

Rev. Adrian Kennard is the MD of UK-based ISP Andrews & Arnold Ltd – Twitter: @The RealRevK

Published: 2017-12-18T09:00:00

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